Homes due for a new system, sent to you alone.
A monthly list of the owner-occupied homes in your ZIPs whose AC, water heater or solar system is at the age replacements peak. One company per trade per ZIP gets it. You reach the owners by mail, before they call around.
Free, before you pay anything. Then $299 a month if we may share your results with your name removed, or $499 a month to keep them private. Three months, then month to month. Cancel by email.If more than 3 of 20 addresses you spot-check aren't the current owner or are wrongly flagged, we refund that month.
Three or more contractors can be charged a lead fee for the EXACT SAME CUSTOMER.
Systems at peak age were replaced about 3 times as often as newer ones.127,536 Austin homes, city permits, 2014–2025
company per trade per ZIP, written into a ledger. If your ZIP is taken, we tell you.
every single job you're going against anywhere from 4 to 6 other contractors
A contractor on shared leads, Alignable forum, 2018
homes in your own ZIPs, free, before you pay anything. Mail only: no calls or texts.
What lands each month.
Four things, every month you hold your ZIPs. Nothing to log into: a file you can mail-merge and a one-page summary you can read in two minutes.
See the full sample (made-up company and owners)Your own past customers, now due
Homes where you installed the last permitted system, and it is now in its peak replacement years. They already know you; nobody else is mailing them for you.
The list
Owner-occupied homes in your ZIPs whose system is in its peak replacement years, best odds first, then older systems for check-up offers. Owner name and mailing address, ready for mail merge.
What happened last month
Which listed homes pulled a replacement permit since, and whether it was you or another company. A floor, not a scorecard: permits miss some replacements.
What we left out
Rentals, undeliverable addresses, systems too new to be due, and every record the county marks confidential. Counted, so you know the list is clean.
Sample · made-up company, owners and counts
Due Homes · Sample Air Co (made up) · Nov 1, 2026
267 owner-occupied homes in your territory have an AC system in its peak replacement years.
Sample · made-up owners and addresses
First rows of your list
| Owner | Property | System age |
|---|---|---|
| Sample Owner 0131 (made up) | 490 EXAMPLE CV 78750 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0143 (made up) | 526 TESTING LN 78750 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0421 (made up) | 1360 DEMO LN 78759 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0461 (made up) | 1480 SAMPLE DR 78750 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0538 (made up) | 1711 DEMO LN 78759 | in your list |
Your file also carries each owner's mailing address, ready for mail merge.
Sample · made-up counts and companies
What happened to last month's list
Of 673 homes on last month's list, 12 pulled a new HVAC replacement permit since. 2 of those permits are yours.
Permits catch only a share of real replacements, so the true number is higher. This is a floor, not a scorecard.
Why these ages.
We counted it instead of guessing. We followed 127,536 Austin homes with a permitted AC from 2014 to 2025. Each year, we checked how old each home's system was and whether it got a replacement permit.
Newer systems: about 6 homes in 1,000 a year. Peak years: about 2 in 100. Permits miss some replacements, so real rates run higher; the shape is the point.
| Trade | At peak age, vs. a newer system |
|---|---|
| HVAC | 3.3× as likely |
| Water heaters | 2.7× as likely |
| Solar (inverters, repairs) | 3–4× as likely |
Water heaters and solar show the same rise and fall, at their own ages. Roofs, pools and windows showed no age signal in permits, so we don't sell them yet. The exact ages come with your list.
Bar chart: share of Austin homes whose AC got a replacement permit in a year, by system age group, youngest first. Newest 0.46%, newer 0.79%, middle 1.68%, peak years 2.08% and 2.02%, oldest 1.69%.
See the numbers behind the bars
| Age group | Home-years | Replaced | Per year | vs. newer |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newest | 370,190 | 1,692 | 0.46% | 0.7× |
| Newer | 374,016 | 2,948 | 0.79% | 1.3× |
| Middle | 102,177 | 1,713 | 1.68% | 2.7× |
| Peak years (first part) | 104,897 | 2,187 | 2.08% | 3.3× |
| Peak years (second part) | 65,346 | 1,322 | 2.02% | 3.2× |
| Oldest | 25,432 | 430 | 1.69% | 2.7× |
"vs. newer" compares each group with the newest two groups combined (0.62% a year).
Six rules we keep.
- One company per trade per ZIP.If your ZIP is taken for your trade, we say so, and we don't sell it twice. Other trades may get the same homes.
- Owner-occupied homes on your list.Records the county marks confidential or undeliverable are never used, on any list.
- Mail only.No robocalls, no texts. These records carry no consent for either.
- Proof every month.You see which listed homes pulled a replacement permit, and which company pulled it. A floor, since some replacements skip the permit.
- A free sample first, and a refund rule.50 homes in your ZIPs before you pay anything. After that, if more than 3 of 20 addresses you spot-check aren't the current owner or are wrongly flagged, we refund that month.
- Three months, then month to month.Cancel by email. No auto-renewing year.
Where it runs
- First to open
- Charlotte, Chicago, Columbus, Fort Worth, Miami, Minneapolis, Portland, Raleigh, San DiegoWe've checked the permit and county records by hand and read their terms of use.
- Opening next
- Mesa, TucsonAfter Arizona's records request to the county.
- Not yet
- AustinWaits on the City's permission. The numbers on this page come from Austin's permits.
Another city? Ask below and we'll tell you honestly whether it can work. Before a city's first list, we re-check the ages on its own permits.
What it isn't: a promise of jobs. We know which systems are at the age replacements peak, not which owner will call. We don't have mailing response numbers yet, so we won't quote you one. To check the math with your own numbers: Example: one $6,000 AC job at 36% gross profit is about $2,160, or about 7 months at $299.
Tell us your ZIPs. We send the free sample.
Your free 50-home sample comes first. When territories open, we confirm your ZIPs by email and send it before you pay anything.
Then $299 a month per trade for your territory (the ZIPs we confirm), if we may share your results with your name removed. $499 a month to keep them private. Three months, then month to month. Cancel by email.
If more than 3 of 20 addresses you spot-check aren't the current owner or are wrongly flagged, we refund that month.
Sample · made-up owners and addresses
| Owner | Property | System age |
|---|---|---|
| Sample Owner 0674 (made up) | 2119 DEMO CV 78750 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0718 (made up) | 2251 SAMPLE CV 78759 | in your list |
| Sample Owner 0830 (made up) | 2587 EXAMPLE LN 78750 | in your list |